first of all: this even though we lost an elite 8 team with duke going down, i’m still so happy it happened. enough gloating, though. here are the results from the round of 64: overall, our (read: Corey’s) model correctly predicted the winner of 24 of the 32 games, the same as nate silver’s model. […]Read more "Modeling March Madness — Part Three"
today’s the first (real) day of the tournament, and here are the model’s first round picks alongside our selections: our entire bracket, with selections heavily influenced by the model can be found here. it’s also shown below. we’ll be posting periodic updates with evaluations of both the model’s predictions and our deviations from the model, […]Read more "Modeling March Madness — Part Two"
the following is the first of a few posts about modeling the 2014 ncaa men’s basketball tournament. my friend Corey Berg has built a model that we’ll be using to inform our bracket building, and he wrote a little about the process. enjoy! I’ve been obsessed with the NCAA tournament from a young age. I […]Read more "Modeling March Madness — Part One (By Corey Berg)"
it’s been an interesting five weeks since the last nuggets update. they’re 10-8 over that span and they’ve generally showed more promise than their dreadful start would indicate. however, they’re still just one game over .500 and they’re still on the path to the NBA purgatory that is mediocrity. they’re not tanking, so they won’t […]Read more "The Nuggets — A December Update"
WHAT’S THIS POST ABOUT? as is the case with any sports fan, i’m in love with the process of guessing which team will emerge victorious. and because i’m exceptionally nerdy, i love to use stats to develop rules for my guesses. over the years, as the sports worlds have gone deeper down the rabbit hole […]Read more "A Method for Predicting the Outcome of NBA Games"
the nuggets have been perfectly pedestrian thus far. ty lawson hasn’t. he’s been incredible. going into the season, i was worried that brian shaw’s inside-out system and his desire to slow the nuggets down would stifle lawson’s career and prevent his numbers from continuing to steadily improve. thankfully, this hasn’t been the case. despite being […]Read more "A Study in Point Guard Play: How Good is Ty Lawson?"
#guardthethree! nah, just kidding…the days of me twitter-ranting about how the one thing the nuggets need to do to break into the highest echelon of teams is #guardthethree are long gone. this nuggets team has far more significant issues to deal with (although they still suck at guarding the three: opponents are shooting 44% from […]Read more "The Nuggets — A November Update"